There are several intriguing matchups in Week 8, including Eagles-Bills, Panthers-49ers, and Packers-Chiefs. However, the best game of the week features the 7-0 New England Patriots hosting the 2-4 Cleveland Browns. It's a matchup that has been anticipated since the April release of the 2019 schedule as the Browns want to show they can compete with the best teams in the AFC.
The Patriots aren't just a good team in the AFC. This is one of the best New England teams over the past two decades. The Patriots just put on an absolute show on Monday Night Football, defeating the Jets 33-0 as New England allowed only 154 total yards and created six turnovers. Not even halfway through the 2019 season, it's not hard to make the case that the Patriots are on their way to having one of the best defenses in NFL history.
Cleveland is coming off of a bye week and desperately needs a win to stay alive in the AFC playoff hunt. The Browns have struggled to be consistent, turning the ball over far too often and committing too many penalties.
Let's take a look at the one bet you should make regarding this AFC matchup.
While the moneyline doesn't present a ton of value, it makes more sense when you parlay it with the point total. If New England is going to win it will likely happen in a low-scoring contest. That is why I like the Patriots moneyline with the under 46 parlay (+123) at 888sport. The odds aren't fantastic, but this is a relatively safe bet as New England doesn't lose at home very often, especially not against an AFC opponent.
The point total for this AFC battle is set at 46.5 at BetMGM, and that seems high considering just how dominant New England's defense has been this season. The Patriots are allowing less than seven points per game, while the Browns are allowing nearly 26 points per game. Expect this game to be a reasonably low-scoring contest, with the under likely hitting.
The Patriots are 13-point favorites at 888sport over the Browns. That number feels slightly too high considering just how rested the Browns are compared to the Patriots. Cleveland is also expected to get back two starting cornerbacks, and that should be a nice boost on defense. New England should still win but 13 points seems like a few too many.
Despite having one fewer day of rest after playing on Monday Night Football, the Patriots are monster favorites (-590) on the road in Week 8 over the Browns (+480) at DraftKings. While the Patriots do look unbeatable this season, there isn't enough value on the moneyline to make this a worthwhile bet. Avoid picking this moneyline, if possible.